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31.
Roelof D. Schuiling Viorel Badescu Richard B. Cathcart Piet. A. L. C. Van Overveld 《Marine Georesources & Geotechnology》2005,23(1):25-37
Ocean gulfs offer a means of artificially creating a depression, which can be used for a regionally significant hydroelectric macroproject. We examine here the case for a dam at the Strait of Hormuz that blocks a large gulf situated in an arid region. A 35 m evaporation of this concentration basin will reduce its watery surface area by ∼53% and allow generation of ∼2.050 MW (or possibly ∼2.500 MW) of electricity. Our conclusion is that the proposed Electricity Development Infrastructure Node (EDIN) is a feasible and desirable macroproject. If the macroproject starts in the near-term future, it would require a significant change in the logistics of oil and gas transport from this region. Alternatively, it can be considered as an attractive future solution for the energy requirements of the region after exhaustion of its oil and gas reserves. 相似文献
32.
如复理石沉积那样的垂向连续型韵律序列的研究能揭示有关生成过程和沉积区域的重要信息。无论不同岩性的垂向组合是否随机的,甚至没有沉积层序的优选次序,也能进行马尔科夫链分析这样的统计分析。此类分析适用于下塔尔克乌砂岩组(罗马尼亚东喀尔巴吁山)的复理石沉积,注意这些沉积物保存的发生程序并给以储存,而那些沉积物(至少被研究的层段)是浊流作用的产物,这些浊积物堆积在水道化沉积亚环境(诸如水道化的中深海扇之类)具良好分带的沉积区中。 相似文献
33.
The Climate Monitoring Satellite Application Facility (CM-SAF) provides estimates of global solar irradiance incident on horizontal surface at Earth surface. Measurements performed in 2010 at five Romanian meteorological stations are used to test the accuracy of the CM-SAF irradiance data. The dataset contains null solar global irradiance values, which cannot be explained by very large values of the zenith angle neither by overcast sky conditions. Sub-databases have been created. The database Z85 consists of irradiance data, without filtering and processing. The database Z85SIS+ remove all null irradiance values. For a given database, the root mean square error (RMSE) with respect to the ground-based measurements is rather similar for all stations, i.e. around 35 % for Z85 and 24 % for Z85SIS+. On average, the database Z85SIS+ has smaller mean bias error (MBE) than the database Z85, independent of the degree of cloudiness. For the database Z85, MBE (RMSE) ranges, depending on station, between ?9.4 and ?1.2 % (35.3 and 39.1 %). For database Z85SIS+, the MBE (RMSE) ranges, depending on station, between ?4.0 and 0.1 % (23.0 and 29.1 %). On overcast sky, we found for some stations MBE?=??0.1 % and RMSE?=?46.4 % when the database Z85SIS+ has been considered. The accuracy of the database Z85 is lower; we found MBE?=??7.0 % and RMSE?=?58.8 % as extreme cases. 相似文献
34.
Marek Brabec Viorel Badescu Marius Paulescu 《Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics》2013,120(1-2):61-71
In this paper, we present a formalized approach to statistical modeling of the sunshine number, binary indicator of whether the Sun is covered by clouds introduced previously by Badescu (Theor Appl Climatol 72:127–136, 2002). Our statistical approach is based on Markov chain and logistic regression and yields fully specified probability models that are relatively easily identified (and their unknown parameters estimated) from a set of empirical data (observed sunshine number and sunshine stability number series). We discuss general structure of the model and its advantages, demonstrate its performance on real data and compare its results to classical ARIMA approach as to a competitor. Since the model parameters have clear interpretation, we also illustrate how, e.g., their inter-seasonal stability can be tested. We conclude with an outlook to future developments oriented to construction of models allowing for practically desirable smooth transition between data observed with different frequencies and with a short discussion of technical problems that such a goal brings. 相似文献